Is there any way out of this trap for liberals who wish to preserve a relatively generous legal immigration policy, even though the diversity that results continues to undermine support for redistributionist social insurance and safety net programs?
Now and then a
moment occurs that clarifies the nature of American politics like a
flash of lightning over a prairie landscape. Such a moment occurred on
Sept. 9 during President Obama's televised address to a joint session
of Congress about healthcare. As the president explained that illegal
immigrants would not be eligible for benefits under the plan he
supported, Joe Wilson, a conservative Republican member of Congress
from South Carolina, shocked the chamber and the television audience by
shouting, "You lie!"
Set aside the rich symbolism of the fact that the
nation's first black president was rudely challenged by a conservative
politician from South Carolina, the most radical of the antebellum
Southern slave states, the home of John C. Calhoun, theorist of states'
rights and slavery, the place where the first shot of the Civil War was
fired at Fort Sumter. In a blazing moment the incident illuminated the
continuing entanglement of the politics of race and the welfare state
in America.
The American social insurance system is minimal compared
not only to the countries of Scandinavia and continental Europe but
also to other English-speaking nations like Britain and Canada, both of
which have universal healthcare programs. In 2008, the U.S. spent only
19 percent of GDP on social programs, compared to nearly 30 percent in
both Sweden and France.
From the beginning, attempts to create a universal
welfare state in the U.S. have been thwarted by the fears of voters
that they will be taxed to subsidize other Americans who are unlike
them in race or ethnicity or culture. The original Social Security Act
passed only after domestic workers and farmworkers--the majority of
black Americans, in the 1930s--were left out of its coverage, at the
insistence of white Southern politicians. Aid to Families With
Dependent Children, a New Deal antipoverty program that became
identified in the public mind with nonwhite "welfare queens," was a
target of popular resentment for half a century before it was finally
abolished by the Republican Congress and President Bill Clinton in the
1990s.
Racial resentments undoubtedly explain the use of
"redistribution" and "socialism" as code words by John McCain, Sarah
Palin and Republican working-class mascot "Joe the Plumber" during the
2008 presidential campaign. Similar themes have surfaced during the
healthcare debate. Among the many popular fears that conservative
opponents of healthcare reform play upon is the anxiety that elderly
working Americans will have their Medicare benefits cut, or might even
be encouraged to volunteer for euthanasia, to subsidize healthcare for
the country's 12 million or so permanently resident illegal immigrants:
"Kill Grandma to pay for Pedro."
The stereotype of the welfare-dependent Latino illegal
immigrant appears to have replaced the black inner-city welfare
recipient as the "other" in the imagination of many Americans
suspicious of further expansion of the federal social insurance system.
This explains Rep. Wilson's outburst that President Obama had to be
lying when he said that illegal immigrants would not benefit from
healthcare reform. Another conservative Republican named Wilson, former
California Gov. Pete Wilson, prospered politically from the native
white backlash against welfare for illegal immigrants in California in
the early 1990s, although the Republican Party subsequently suffered
from alienating the state's growing Latino electorate. The Austin
Lounge Lizards said it best, in their song "Teenage Immigrant Welfare
Mothers on Drugs":
All those teenage immigrant welfare mothers on drugs
(They're on the Dole)
Teenage immigrant welfare mothers on drugs
(They're speaking espanol)
Since the 1964 Civil Rights Act destroyed formal white
supremacy in the U.S., every attempt to expand traditional social
insurance in America has failed. Meanwhile, there has been a massive
expansion in government-sponsored welfare going disproportionately to
the white and affluent. What the political scientist Christopher Howard
calls the hidden welfare state includes the tax-favored
employer-provided health insurance that most working-age Americans
depend on, as well as the home mortgage interest deduction and the
childcare and child tax credits. Affluent and educated workers are more
likely to work for employers who provide private health benefits than
are low-skilled workers and employees of small businesses. Personal tax
benefits like the home mortgage interest deduction are available only
to the top half of households who pay federal income taxes, and are
unavailable to lower-income workers who pay payroll taxes but no income
taxes. In many cases, the benefits of this tax-credit welfare state
increase with income.
There is even a nonrefundable "childcare tax credit"
available only to the relatively affluent families who pay income taxes
in addition to payroll taxes. There's no publicly provided or
subsidized daycare to help out the nanny who takes care of the rich
brat, but the taxpayers subsidize the rich brat's parents when they
employ the nanny.
Is it a coincidence that following the Civil Rights Act
white Americans stopped expanding the traditional welfare state and
instead started building a private, income-based welfare state for
themselves? Could it be pure coincidence that the most generous welfare
states in the world have been those of ethnically homogeneous Nordic
countries where, until recent immigration, nearly everyone was related
to everyone else? Is the classic welfare state really a form of ethnic
nepotism most likely to be adopted by a homogeneous, indeed tribal,
nation-state?
Recent scholarship supports the hypothesis that ethnic
diversity tends to be inversely correlated with generous, universal
social insurance. In a 2001 paper titled "Why Doesn't the US Have a
European-Style Welfare State?" Alberto Alesina, Edward Glaeser and
Bruce Sacerdote wrote that "race is critically important to
understanding the US-Europe differences" and that "hostility to welfare
comes in part from the fact that welfare spending in the US goes
disproportionately to minorities."
Social Security and Medicare, the two major examples of
universal social insurance in the U.S., were enacted during a
half-century between World War I and the 1970s when the foreign-born
percentage of the U.S. population was at an all-time low and ethnic
differences were fading rapidly in a white majority that made up a
secure nine-tenths of the population. Arguably a sense of post-ethnic,
pan-white nationalism, combined with a small nonwhite majority
consisting almost entirely of African-Americans, is one of the reasons,
if not the major reason, that the U.S. came closer to European social
democracy between 1932 and 1968 than in the periods of greater
immigration and cultural heterogeneity that came before and afterward.
The tension between diversity and solidarity is a problem
for both wings of the Democratic Party in the United States. In an
increasingly diverse society with population growth driven by
immigration, it will be even harder for the social democrats on the
left wing of the Democratic Party to persuade the dwindling number of
native white voters of the merits of universal policies that could
benefit both them and the newcomers. But if immigration-driven
diversity dooms ambitious plans for social democracy in America, it may
be an even greater obstacle to the less expensive, targeted,
means-tested programs favored by centrist Democratic neoliberals. After
all, means-tested programs by design would exclude most of the white
working and middle class, and benefit the nonwhite, increasingly
foreign-born working poor even more visibly than universal programs, at
even greater cost in their political viability.
Is there any way out of this trap for liberals who wish
to preserve (as I do) a relatively generous legal immigration policy,
even though the diversity that results continues to undermine support
for redistributionist social insurance and safety net programs? Maybe.
The solution may be corporatism or corporate paternalism--by which I
mean the mandatory universalization of private employer benefits. If
the politics of ethnic diversity makes movement in a universalist,
social democratic direction impossible in the U.S., then the
alternative might be to mandate that all employers provide certain
benefits to all employees, with no exceptions. The costs of such
unfunded mandates might drive some small businesses out of existence.
But small-business owners are the most vocal opponents of wage and
benefit reform in the U.S. The replacement of Scrooge & Marley by a
smaller number of bigger private and public employers who treat Bob
Cratchit and Tiny Tim better would not necessarily be a tragedy.
What Winston Churchill said about democracy can be said
about the welfare state as well. In a country as pluralistic as the
U.S., liberal corporatism may be the worst kind of welfare system,
except for all the rest.
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